7 Paths to God: The Ways of the Mystic by Joan Borysenko

By Joan Borysenko

Joan Borysenko explores the ways that mysticism can input into your lifestyles. You don't need to climb a mountain or trek via Nepal to adventure a magical second; what you do need to study is to be totally found in your way of life and to open up the extreme within the mundane. This e-book teaches readers how one can do that of their lives.

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Sample text

Thus it is almost as likely as not that in a group of four people, two of them will share a star sign. If we consider birthdays, we obtain an even more surprising result. We need only 23 people in a group in order for there to be a 50% likelihood that two of those people will share a birthday. The reason for this low figure is that 23 people can actually be paired off for comparison in no less than 253 different ways. With 30 people, as may be found on the average rugby pitch, the likelihood is in fact 70% that two people will share a birthday.

In addition, people have a tendency to base their judgements on a small sample of information and to be unduly impressed by the occurrence of unremarkable coincidences. Finally, individuals have a very distorted notion of risk, often being terribly worried about safe activities but unconcerned about very unsafe ones, such as smoking. For all of these reasons the average person tends to make highly inaccurate estimations of probability, and in most cases this takes the form of a considerable underestimation of the probability of an event occurring by chance.

Subjective estimates of this type underlie much intuitive decision-making. Although subjective probability estimation may be the greyest area of probability, there do exist ways of making the estimates more reliable by modifying them in the light of the available data. The statistician Bayes called the subjective estimate the 'prior' odds, and showed how this could be modified to give the 'posterior' odds by reference to observed frequencies. e. , 1982). Whichever definition of probability we apply, one thing is clear - the events we are interested in can never be more frequent than the possible events, since they will only occur on some occasions and not on others.

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