By Fritz J. Scheuren, Wendy Alvey
An figuring out of the connection among the product and the method in election polling is frequently misplaced. This edited quantity unites rules and researchers, with caliber enjoying the principal position. вЂ”J. Michael Brick, PhD, Director of the Survey tools Unit, Westat, Inc.
Elections and go out Polling is a very exact exam of the really good surveys which are presently used to trace and acquire info on elections and voter personal tastes. applying sleek learn from the prior decade and a chain of interviews with famed American pollster Warren Mitofsky (1934-2006), this quantity presents a correct and groundbreaking examine the main statistical options and survey equipment for measuring voter personal tastes all over the world.
Drawing at the most present experiences on pre-election and go out polling, this booklet outlines advancements that experience built lately and the result of their implementation. insurance starts with an creation to go out polling and a simple evaluate of its background, constitution, obstacles, and functions. next chapters specialise in using go out polling within the usa election cycles from 2000вЂ“2006 and the issues that have been encountered through either pollsters and the typical voter, comparable to easy methods to validate legitimate vote count number, confidentiality, new balloting equipment, and carrying on with information caliber issues. The textual content is going directly to discover the presence of those matters in overseas politics, with examples and case reports of elections from Europe, Asia, and the center East. eventually, trying to the impending 2008 U.S. presidential election, the dialogue concludes with predictions and proposals on the right way to assemble extra exact and well timed polling information.
examine papers from over fifty eminent practitioners within the fields of political technology and survey tools are provided along excerpts from the editors' personal interviews with Mitofsky. The editors additionally include their very own reflections all through and finish every one bankruptcy with a precis Observations part that highlights awesome thoughts and developments. The appendix beneficial properties pattern questionnaires from genuine go out polling situations and an in depth bibliography directs the reader to extra references for additional examine.
Combining knowledge from essentially the most outstanding names within the box besides findings from smooth study and insightful thoughts for destiny practices, Elections and go out Polling is a superb complement for political technology and survey study classes on the upper-undergraduate and graduate degrees. it's also a unique reference for pollsters, survey researchers, statisticians, and somebody with a normal curiosity within the tools in the back of international elections and go out polling.
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Extra resources for Elections and Exit Polling
Php, January 13,2008. Fienberg, S. (2007). Memories of Election Night Predictions Past: Psephologists and Statisticians at Work, Chance, 20 (4), 8-17. Frankel, Martin R. , (1987). Fifty Years of Survey Sampling in the United States, Public Opinion Quarterly, 51, part 2: Supplement, S127-SI38. Frankovic, K. A. (1 992). E. R. ), Washington, DC: The Brookings Institution, 32-54. Frankovic, K. A. (2003). News Organizations’ Responses to the Mistakes of Election 2000: Why They Will Continue to Project Elections, Public Opinion Quarterly, 67(1), 19-31.
2006). Was the 2004 Presidential Election Stolen? Exit Polls, Election Fraud, and the OficialCount, New York, N Y Seven Stories Press. Grier, David Alan (2002). Predicting the Unpredictable Election, Chance, 15 (2), 30-35. Grimshaw, S. ; Christensen, H. ; Magleby, D. ; and Patterson, K. D. (2004). Twenty Years of the Utah Colleges Exit Poll: Learning by Doing, Chance, 17 (2), 32-38. Lee, Byung-Kwan (1999). org/studies/student/99spring/interactive/bklee/theoly2/poll. html. Lindeman, M. (2006). Beyond Exit Poll Fundamentalism: Surveying the 2004 Election Debate, paper presented at the 61 st annual conference of the American Association for Public Opinion Research, Montreal.
The balance of the chapter is made up of papers prepared by contributing authors. ] Elections and Exit Polling. Edited by Fritz Scheuren and Wendy Alvey Copyright @ 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. lg The television networks added to the confusion. First, most of the networks announced that Gore had won the election in FIorida-a projection retracted later that day. " The closeness of the official tallies, complaints about the unusual Palm Beach County ballot design, and anecdotal information about voting process irregularities led to furthcr questions about the Florida results.