Performance Politics and the British Voter by Harold D. Clarke, David Sanders, Marianne C. Stewart, Paul

By Harold D. Clarke, David Sanders, Marianne C. Stewart, Paul F. Whiteley

What issues such a lot to electorate once they decide upon their leaders? This ebook means that functionality politics is on the middle of up to date democracy, with citizens forming judgments approximately how good competing events and leaders practice on very important matters. Given the excessive stakes and uncertainty concerned, citizens count seriously on partisan cues and occasion chief pictures as publications to electoral selection. besides the fact that, the authors argue that the difficulty schedule of British politics has replaced markedly lately. A cluster of matters approximately crime, immigration and terrorism now combine with perennial fiscal and public provider concerns. due to the fact electorate and events frequently percentage an identical positions on those concerns, political pageant makes a speciality of who can do the easiest activity. This booklet indicates version emphasizing versatile partisan attachments, occasion chief pictures and judgments of celebration competence on key concerns can clarify electoral selection in modern Britain.

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14 Performance Politics and the British Voter The failure of the Bush–Blair ‘coalition of the willing’ to bring anything resembling a satisfactory outcome to the Iraq crisis ­inevitably increased people’s doubts about the wisdom of the invasion. This had knock-on consequences for public confidence in Tony Blair and, ultimately, for Labour’s popularity. In subsequent chapters, we estimate models that indicate that the war cost Labour substantial support in 2005. Some of the effect was direct, but much was indirect, working through the aforementioned erosion of Blair’s image.

Specifying a general model in which nonvoting is an alternative along with the choices provided by competing parties reveals that valence politics variables such as party leader images and evaluations of party performance of important issues influence turnout as well as party choice. This finding suggests that the valence politics model is relevant for explaining all aspects of electoral choice. In Chapter 6, we investigate how the 2005 campaign affected turnout and party choice. It once was conventional wisdom that British election campaigns did not matter.

Then, binomial and multinomial logit models are employed to assess the explanatory power of competing models of party choice. , 2004b), the valence politics model dominates its rivals, although other models also make contributions to explanation. These findings are confirmed by analyses using a mixed logit 26 Performance Politics and the British Voter model that enables us to consider the varying choice sets presented to the English, Scottish and Welsh electorates. We also use the mixed logit model to investigate the effect of ­information availability and processing capacity – political sophistication – on the impact of party leader images on party choice.

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