Perspectives on Global Development 2013 Industrial Policies by Oecd Organisation For Economic Co-Operation And Development

By Oecd Organisation For Economic Co-Operation And Development

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273-294. 46 PERSPECTIVES ON GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT 2013 © OECD 2013 1. SHIFTING WEALTH AND THE NEW WORLD ECONOMY Shifting wealth II refers to a long-term process of sustained and higher growth in heavily populated emerging economies if they keep accumulating skills, capital and modern technology, build a middle-income class, switch (in the case of China in particular) from investment-led growth toward more consumption, and export increasingly sophisticated goods and services. If emerging economies succeed in becoming advanced economies, their success would improve export opportunities for the remaining developing countries, which can lead to accelerating global growth.

ToT: Terms of trade. LIC: Low-income countries. MIC: Middle-income countries. 1. This does not take into account the possible acceleration in urbanisation trends in other developing countries, which would require investment in those countries. impact on raw material prices, with prices for industrial metals (steel, copper, zinc) slowing as the pace of the first phase of urbanisation and industrialisation in China decreases. The winners from this transformation will be those commodities (such as palladium and coffee) with strong links to rising living standards and changing tastes, or to the industrial sectors that will outperform, such as vehicles, renewable energy or power investment (Barclays, 2012).

1787/888932812889 Shifting wealth is changing in nature and represents an evolving opportunity The shifting wealth process, triggered by the rise of emerging economies, has created increasing development opportunities. Globally, the impact has been positive for developing economies, in terms of growth and poverty reduction, despite the fact that some countries have been hurt by increased competition, in particular from China. The rebalancing of China and other large emerging economies would have large impacts and would offer evolving development opportunities.

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